Why Tariffs Require CFOs to Reshape Working Capital Strategies

3 Mins
14/03/2025

Last month, President Trump signed an executive order to impose tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China.

While the details of those tariffs are still being ironed out, backlash from multiple countries has caused several pauses in the process and led to some confusion over what will be tariffed and when. That’s why understanding the potential impact of these tariffs will be key to the future growth and success of your business.

No matter what your industry – or even where your company does business – these tariffs have the potential to create a knock-on effect that could impact you. So, let’s take a look at why tariffs will require your finance team and CFO to reshape your working capital strategies.

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Chapter 1

1. Tariffs increase the risk of non-payment

Recently, a Bloomberg article delved into how tariffs are turning CFOs into chief cash collectors. The pun itself is quite witty. But more than that, it’s true. Tariffs increase the costs on businesses – putting more pressure on them to be smarter and agile in how they manage their working capital and cash flow. 

Higher tariffs can increase the cost of goods imported, which can have a knock-on effect on a company’s margins and cash flow. Plus, higher tariffs can squeeze a company’s profitability. For instance, companies might need to raise prices to offset their increased costs. But this could turn off the company’s customers and affect demand – leading to a decline in sales, which is the opposite effect of what they wanted.

When it comes to working capital, one of the most important levers is Days Beyond Terms, or DBT, which refers to the number of days late a company pays its bills. Overdue payments have already been on the rise in 2024 in the US, Europe and Asia, according to Creditsafe data. US companies, for example, were on average 19.5 days late paying their suppliers, while the metric stood at 24 days in Europe and at 37 days in Asia, up nearly 50% from 2023, as the Bloomberg article explains. To make matters worse, our recent study, Cost of Late Payments , found that 86% of businesses reported that up to 30% of their monthly invoiced sales are overdue.

This is why it’s so important to review the business credit report of every customer you work with – both at the start of the relationship and throughout the customer lifecycle. You shouldn’t just pay attention to credit scores and credit limits. Look closely at their historical payment data – focusing on their Days Beyond Terms (DBT) trends and aging of their outstanding bills over the most recent 12-month period. This will show you clear patterns of how your customers pay their own suppliers – meaning you can get a data-driven estimation of whether they’ll be a reliable payer and how soon you can expect payment.  

Assessing stock in a warehouse
Chapter 1

2. Tariffs drive suppliers to raise prices and shorten payment terms

Now let’s talk about cash flow. This s essentially the movement of money in and out of your business. Having a healthy cash flow means your operations will run smoothly, bills can be paid on time and growth plans can be maximized. 

There are several factors that can affect your cash flow, which include:

  • Accounts Receivable management 
  • Credit policies 
  • Accounts Payable
  • Financing decisions 
  • Inventory levels
  • Investments  

I’ve already talked about how tariffs can increase the risk of non-payment from customers. But the impact of tariffs on your suppliers can have a domino effect on your business. If your suppliers increase their pricing, shorten your payment terms or require upfront cash payments, that could affect your own cash flow. So, now on top of the higher tariffs you’re paying, you may be faced with paying more to your suppliers – which may not have been budgeted and planned for in your annual plans. And if your customers are repeatedly paying your company late, then you may not be able to meet the shortened payment terms with your suppliers. 

If you can’t pay your own suppliers on time, that means your company’s DBT will likely increase – or become erratic and unpredictable – revealing cracks in your financial health and liquidity issues. So, if and when you need financing or are planning to expand the business into new markets or launch new products, a high DBT could stand in your way and create complications. 

Shipping containers
Chapter 1

3. Tariffs reduce profitability for exporters

By their nature, tariffs increase the cost of exporting goods. While I probably don’t need to explain that to you, you’ll also find that the increased expenses that come with tariffs can have wide-reaching effects. And all of them affect your profitability and bottom line.

One of the biggest effects we’re seeing so far with the introduction of tariffs is retaliatory tariffs. The EU announced a total of $28 billion in tariffs on products that include motorcycles and whiskey. And the Canadian government has said it will introduce “dollar-by-dollar" tariffs, meaning they’ll match the tariff rate imposed on them by the US. So far, that equates to nearly $30 billion CAD (roughly $20 billion USD) in tariffs on imports like steel, computers and sports equipment. This is unchartered territory for US-Canadian relations, which have historically been cooperative. And a 2024 study published in Finance Research Letters found that “geopolitical risk significantly raises corporate bankruptcy risk.”

Beyond the political impact, let’s think about how the impact of tariffs can be felt throughout a product’s lifecycle. Goods can become more expensive to export, leading to lower profit margins for exporters – they may need to export more goods or change their shipping methods to cut costs. And the importing country will feel that squeeze, too. Certain products can become more expensive in the importing country due to higher costs. Buyers in the importing country may seek out less expensive alternatives, which continues to reduce profitability for the exporters.

Operating machinery at a manufacturer
Chapter 1

4. Tariffs disrupt global supply chains

Over the last few years, supply chain concerns have been on everybody’s mind. From the disruptions caused by COVID-19 lockdowns to geopolitical instability, it’s more important than ever that you know your supply chain inside and out. That way, if there’s ever an issue with a supplier or a customer, you’ll know what to do.

Tariffs can push the prices of raw materials and supplies up – as well as transportation and logistics costs. So, companies either absorb these costs or pass the costs onto their own customers. It’s not an ideal situation.

At the same time, tariffs can push companies to look for alternative suppliers in countries where tariffs aren’t as high. This could lead to delays in production and delivery of goods to customers as well as increasing operational costs. And then there’s inventory – higher tariffs could mean that companies aren’t able to maintain their standard inventory levels. That could cause stock shortages and longer waiting times for customers to receive their orders – both of which could end up costing the business their loyalty and repeat orders in the future. 

Global shipping supply chain
Chapter 1

Reduce the impact of tariffs and protect your cash flow

 
  1. Review the business credit report of every customer you work with: While a lot of people look at a business credit report simply for a credit score or limit, you should also be looking at things like Days Beyond Terms (DBT) and legal filings. Take a look at the credit report as a whole to make data-driven decisions about who to work with – and who to avoid.
  2. Do an in-depth analysis of your customers’ historical payment data: Look closely at Days Beyond Terms (DBT) trends and outstanding bills by invoice age over the most recent 12-month period. This can uncover red flags that point to your customers’ deteriorating financial health and cash flow issues.
  3. Speak to customers regularly; not just when it’s time to collect payments: The biggest mistake we see is when suppliers only reach out to their customers when it’s time to collect payment. But there’s so much that can happen in between – managing your relationship with your customers can help you understand if certain factors lead to a strain on your customer’s cash flow and if that will cause your payments to be delayed.
  4. Segment your customer portfolio by payment behaviors: Analyze the data to see how many of your current customers pay late, how many days late they pay and what % of your invoices are past due (by age). This will help you fully understand the risks of non-payment. 
  5. Adjust payment terms when necessary: Decide whether you need to shorten payment terms or adjust your own prices based on your risk assessment of your customers 
  6. Make sure your own payment terms with suppliers is most effective: Speak to your suppliers to see if they plan to raise their prices and/or shorten your payment terms – then determine if your cash flow is strong enough to withstand the changes

Think of it this way: DBT is the valuable data that shows clear patterns of cash flow issues and deteriorating financial health, while business credit reports are the place where the data lives.

Lina Chindamo

About the Author

Lina Chindamo, Director, Enterprise Accounts, Creditsafe

Lina Chindamo is currently Director, Enterprise Accounts at Creditsafe Canada, and a Certified Credit Professional (CCP) with over 25 years of experience in credit risk management.  She has held senior leadership roles with leading companies in multiple industries in the Canadian market such as Sony Electronics, Maple Leaf Foods, and Mondelez Canada. Her experience as a credit professional along with her current role as Director, Enterprise Accounts who works closely with c-suite partners and credit teams across all industries makes her a well-rounded credit professional who is well respected in our industry.

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